Voters aged 18-25 under-represented in political polls
Polls only count people who have land lines. An overwhelming majority of citizens under the age of 25 no longer have landlines, instead relying on cell phones. The result: Current polling practices are completely biased, since they significantly under-represent a key demographic, voters aged 18-25, in their results. The majority of young voters favor Kerry, who is under-represented in current polls.
The article concludes by stating that polls are a complete fraud and should not be used in any way. Eventually, a case is made for a switch to on-line polling, which cannot currently be used since that would again represent a skewed portion of the demographic.
For an interesting daily look at election predictions, see this site:
If you click on th "Previous Report" button, you can see a day-to-day breakdown of predictions. Below are the most recent results. It's crazy to see how much day-to-day fluctuation there is in daily polling results. Some constants: Kerry always takes California, New York, and Michigan. Bush always takes Texas, and the entire mid-section of the United States (Outside of New Mexico and Colorado) The West Coast, and the Northeast are generally blue, and the rest of the country is red.
Today: Bush 331 Kerry 207
Sept 18th: Bush 327 Kerry 211
Sept 17th: Bush 307 Kerry 211
Sept 16th: Bush 311 Kerry 223
Sept 15th: Bush 296 Kerry 238
Sept 14th: Bush 291 Kerry 238
Sept 13th: Kerry 269 Bush 233
Sept 12th: Kerry 273 Bush 233
Sept 11th: Kerry 273 Bush 233
Sept 10th: Bush 254 Kerry 252